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Review Question - QID 105635

QID 105635 (Type "105635" in App Search)
An at-home recreational drug screening test kit is currently being developed. They consult you for assistance with determining an ideal cut-off point for the level of the serum marker in the test kit. This cut-off point will determine what level of serum marker is associated with a positive or negative test, with serum marker levels greater than the cut-off point indicative of a positive test and vice-versa. The cut-off level is initially set at 4 mg/uL, which is associated with a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 97%. How will the sensitivity and specificity of the test change if the cut-off level is raised to 6 mg/uL?

Sensitivity decreases, specificity decreases

2%

4/219

Sensitivity increases, specificity decreases

17%

37/219

Sensitivity decreases, specificity increases

61%

133/219

Sensitivity increases, specificity increases

6%

13/219

Sensitivity decreases, specificity may increase or decrease

4%

9/219

Select Answer to see Preferred Response

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When the cut-off point of a test is increased, this is associated with an increase in specificity (TN/(TN+FP)) and a decrease in sensitivity (TP/(TP+FN)).

Sensitivity and specificity are inversely related. In the context of a diagnostic test, moving a cut-off point to identify more patients with the disease increases sensitivity; however, this comes at the expense of decreased specificity, with more false positives occurring. Conversely, minimizing false positives leads to increased specificity at the expense of decreased sensitivity (more false negatives). Ultimately a cut-off point should be found where a balance is struck between optimal sensitivity and specificity values within a certain clinical context.

Sharp and Lipsky discuss various tools for screening for depression. The cut-off levels for these screening tools have been optimized to strike the optimal balance between obtaining the highest sensitivity and specificity possible for detecting symptoms suggestive of depression. Such screening tests may be manipulated by clinicians through increasing or decreasing cut-off points (and thereby altering sensitivity and specificity of the test) for diagnosis or the need to pursue further work-up.

Ohle et al. discuss the use of the Alvarado score for predicting acute appendicitis (Illustration B). A cut-off value of 5 is used to rule-out appendicitis as a reason for admission, while a cut-off value of 7 is used to rule-in appendicitis and proceed to surgery. When the cut-off moves from 5 to 7, the sensitivity decreases with a goal towards increased specificity.

Illustration A shows a graph illustrating how two different cut-points for creatine kinase levels in MI patients may elicit different sensitivies and specificities; note that there will be more missed diagnoses (false negatives) with a higher cut-off point, while conversely, there will be more misdiagnoses (false positives) with a lower cut-off point. Illustration B is a diagram summarizing the Alvarado criteria; note how different cut-off points may be used to elicit different sensitivities and specificities from the test. Illustration C summarizes the implications of a test with low sensitivity and high specificity. Illustration D graphically summarizes where TP, TN, FP, and FN fall relative to a cut-off point.

Incorrect Answers:
Answers 1,4,5: Increasing the cut-off point is associated with decreased sensitivity and increased specificity.
Answer 2: Lowering the cut-off point is associated with increased sensitivity and decreased specificity.

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